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Misinterpreting this Depression Study May Lead Doctors to Treat the Wrong People

The study claims to predict response to escitalopram treatment — but that is a potentially dangerous interpretation.

F. Perry Wilson, MD MSCE
5 min readJan 8, 2020

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It’s a new year, and after a little holiday break I’m back and, frankly, a bit cranky as I peruse the recently-published medical literature, so I’m focusing today on a rather small study, but one that hits a pet peeve of mine and so I’m going to channel my inner Andy Rooney here and gripe for a bit.

Appearing in JAMA Network Open we have this article with the compelling title “Use of Machine Learning for Predicting Escitalopram Treatment Outcome From EEG Recordings in Adults with Depression”.

I like to know what I’m getting into when I read a title. And this title promises quite a bit. To me, it reads like researchers used an EEG and some fancy machine-learning stuff to predict which patients with depression would benefit from escitalopram treatment.

That idea, using a machine learning model to choose the best psychiatric treatment is holy grail-level personalized medicine…

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F. Perry Wilson, MD MSCE
F. Perry Wilson, MD MSCE

Written by F. Perry Wilson, MD MSCE

Medicine, science, statistics. Associate Professor of Medicine and Public Health at Yale. Host of "Impact Factor" on Medscape.com.

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